By Football Forecasters
"It is Good to See, but Better to Foresee"
Last Update: 08/29/06
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2006 football reports & NFL picks.
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NFC South Picks & PreviewBy Dale Sims and Kurt Schumacher The
NFC South This division lacks the overall strength of the NFC East but
might be more dangerous in that the teams that are good are solid and the
teams with question marks are dangerous in one way or another.
The division itself is stable with the exception of New Orleans and
the multiple issues that they are dealing with.
All of the teams improved themselves in the off season and the
draft, some more than others, but some needed a lot more help.
The schedules are generally difficult, as they play the NFC East
and crossover to the AFC North, which is very solid. Carolina
11-5
Tampa Bay 9-7 (+)
Atlanta
8-8
New Orleans 4-12
Carolina
Carolina made some excellent moves in the off-season,
probably no team in the NFL did a better job in both free agency and the
draft addressing their specific needs, but their schedule is difficult.
The addition of Keyshawn Johnson to the receiving corps bolsters
both the passing game, where he provides a creditable threat opposite
Smith, and enhances the running game due to his blocking skills.
The running backs need to stay healthy to set up play-action, this
is still a run first offense. That conservative offense and a bundle of talent keep the
defense one of the leagues best. They
have some minor weaknesses in the secondary but the aggressive defensive
line makes it difficult to exploit them.
The difficulty of their schedule is an issue regarding playoff
seeding, but expect them to make the playoffs again this season. Tampa
Bay The offensive line is going through some changes and a lot
will depend on how quickly everything comes together. This team wants to run to setup the pass but needs to improve
their blocking for both parts of the game.
The inexperience of their quarterback is of concern, he has more to
learn and it is difficult to predict the price of the lessons.
The team did better than expected last year but will have trouble
repeating as division champs, things are not helped by a difficult
schedule and that Simms is still learning his craft.
The Cadillac showed some signs of hard use last season and his
health will be a factor this year also. The
defense continues to age but still plays well within the scheme obviously,
at some point you have to expect some drop off though this year it may not
be evident. The other issue
with this defense is their depth is suspect; they need to stay healthy to
have a chance to challenge for the division. Atlanta The defense should improve given their high profile free
agent acquisitions, though the secondary is not great, perhaps an improved
pass rush will compensate somewhat. The
defensive line is a bit undersized which can be an issue against power
rushing teams, and they will face more than a few of those this
season. (Carolina, Tampa, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Baltimore, Washington,
Dallas.) They have a solid rushing offense and the offensive line is
good, though perhaps not quite as solid as they were last season.
Vick has a great arm but has not been consistent in locating his
receivers, on the run he can’t seem to find them and in the pocket his
height may be an issue. While
he is the best athlete on the team he may be the second best quarterback.
His style exposes him to too many hits, making him injury prone.
Those last five games of the season are going to be brutal. New
Orleans New Orleans is a recovering city and the Saints are a
recovering team, both are going to need time.
They have a brutal schedule, a new coach to break in, and an
offensive line that is a work in progress.
Their primary running back and the new quarterback are both coming
off injuries, which raise even more flags.
The presence of Reggie Bush will likely produce some highlight film
and Sean Payton will find ways to get him involved on offense and special
teams. Their defense is weak
against the pass both in their rush and coverage.
That makes any progress for this team a real uphill battle. SUMMARY This is actually a talented division but their schedules
will be hard on them and their records may not reflect their abilities.
Questions abound throughout and there is some concern that one or two of
these teams could tank. Atlanta
is an obvious candidate where Vick has already called into question the
offensive scheme; after last seasons second half there is some tension
there. Tampa Bay has an
inexperienced quarterback and all that goes with that.
If he has problems, and it is more like when than if, how will he
respond? Even Carolina
could have some issues as the starting running back has an extensive
injury history, and Keyshawn has not always been the best teammate
possible (and Steve Smith is not exactly shy). Vegas has installed
Carolina as a heavy favorite to win the division, but there are probably
better plays out there.
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Football Forecasters: 2006 NFL Football Team News Reports - produced by Kurt Schumacher & Allen Glover
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