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"It is Good to See, but Better to Foresee"
Last Update: 08/29/06
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2006 football reports & NFL picks.
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NFC North Picks & PreviewBy Dale Sims The
NFC North
This
maybe the weakest division in the NFL; three of the teams are breaking in
new leadership and one is also under new ownership. Not only are these teams (with the exception of the Bears)
making major scheme changes they have some lingering personnel issues.
The schedules in general though are actually very favorable but we
still only see one team coming out of the division with a winning record.
The NFC North gets to play the NFC West and the AFC East neither of
which are exactly powerhouses.
Chicago
12-4 (+) Minnesota
8-8 Green
Bay
5-11 Detroit
4-12
Chicago
The
Bears return all twenty-two starters from last years 11-5 team, great news
for the defense, less inspiring regarding their miserable 2005 offense.
The return of injured starters should help; given that they are
likely to improve on offense, they would almost have to.
The defense is the best in the NFL until proven otherwise and may
actually be better than it was last season.
With that defense and any kind of minimally effective ball control
offense this team should do well particularly with their schedule.
They play nine games against teams that have new head coaches which
must be some kind of record. Minnesota
This
is a very different team from where it was a year ago.
The offensive line could be a huge positive this season, certainly
the talent is there; the skill positions are a bit thin, what they lack in
quality they seem to be trying to make up with quantity.
Still Brad Johnson showed himself to be a capable leader last
season as Minnesota feasted on weaker teams and they have a schedule that
looks similar. They have
announced they are going to be running a Tampa, cover two scheme on
defense but the current personnel don't seem right for that move. This team could be a real surprise but the level of changes
being made here argue that it could go either direction.
Green
Bay
Brett
came back, and despite the new coach, the offense will stay very similar
for all the good it is likely to do.
Age and injuries to the running backs along with the defection of
Javon Walker limit the offensive weapons and the center of that line
didn't get any better. The
lack of protection and the apparent lack of any kind of a running game
will create pressure, Farve will feel the need to push, and the turnovers
will come. Offensive
production will be limited. The
Packers best hope lies with their defense; this was actually a
statistically good defense last year that added talent.
If it can come together as a group quickly, the defense may able to
keep Green Bay in a few games they should not be in.
If Farve can still pull off some magic, they could steal a couple
of wins but the Packers have an uphill battle to get to even.
Detroit
Detroit
is blessed with a relatively easy schedule but it isn't likely to be
nearly enough. Getting Rod
Marinelli, a disciplinarian as coach is a step in the right direction as
discipline has been lacking there for years.
Some players likely will flourish but others are going to be
resistant to say the least. Remember this is the team whose players complained to
the union about being required to do too much during the off-season
Organized Team Activities (OTA). The
changes in both offense and defense that are being put in require great
discipline and it is very hard to see that happening for the Lions, expect
another very frustrating season for this dysfunctional team until the
roster improves. The Martz
offense can be formidable but it requires a great deal of precision,
intelligence, and talent to operate it successfully.
The fact that it requires an accomplished, accurate quarterback who
can make consistently good decisions argues against either of the options
seems to argue against the options available.
Remember this is the team whose players complained to the union
about being required to do too much during the off-season Organized Team
Activities (OTA). SUMMARY The
NFC North looks weak at this point, other than Chicago any of the other
three teams could potentially be looking at the number one pick in the
2007 at the end of the season. The
good news it that all of the teams appear to be taking steps to turn
around their respective teams but the last thing you want to hear in
August is wait until next year. It
is unlikely that a wild card could come out of this division but very
possible that the NFC champion could.
The kind of schedule Chicago has could lead to home field advantage
throughout the NFC playoffs and Chicago in January can be a huge home
field advantage.
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