NFL Picks & College Pick's by Football Forecasters

Update 8/26/02: We have hit Utah State with an early 4% play. Getting double digits at home for this intra state rivalry was too good to pass on. We think this may drop to single digits by game time. This contest went down to the wire last year and this year the aggies may be a better team than last years version, while the Ute's may backslide a bit. We will very likely upgrade this to an A play later in the week. We will post an upgraded analysis by Thursday.

Update 8/20/02: We're back, the Autumn winds are upon us once again! It feels so good to see a game we can take advantage of. We feel Virginia Tech and Lee Suggs will lay it all over the overmatched visiting Indians squad. What we especially like about coach Beamer is he likes to lay those goose eggs on teams. Little worry about a backdoor cover here.

There will be some small changes to our web page this year. As I've said before I'm not much of a webmaster - I'm a handicapper. We try to make our page "efficient". No banners, pictures, advertisements, flashing links, or popups. Nothing but our analysis of football. I've attempted to format the page so that I can update our picks each week in a clear manner with a minimum of "webmaster" time. We spend a substantial amount of time each week analyzing match-ups and looking for an advantage from the posted line, frankly I'm more interested in doing the football research than presenting a pretty page (sure wish you'd get your shit together Big Al and learn how to help me update this web page - if you did I would have to quit taking potshots at you). Nice call on Va. Tech and Lee Suggs Big Al, now push yourself away from the dinner table and get on the slim fast plan.

Please take a moment to read our philosophy on Money Management. This short piece gives our views on a fundamental requirement to wagering success. The article is permanently linked at the bottom of this page. It has been tweaked a bit recently, and over the years.

I've disabled our old e-mail address for the time being. The new address is linked at the bottom of the page. Too much crap from advertisers and repeated mailings of the Klez worm virus were being received at our old address. Sorry for any inconvenience to our regular correspondents.

The sports sites linked at the bottom of the page go directly to the football pages of the respective sites, as that's all we cover here.

Being as we nailed it right on the head, I've decided to leave the Superbowl analysis from last year up till we post a pick for an NFL game.

We have received numerous offers to do link exchanges with casinos, display advertising, and/or exchange e-mail lists. As you can see we do not permit advertising on our page, we do not endorse a casino, and we certainly will not share your e-mail address's with others (for those of you who e-mail us). Nor have we ever sent an e-mail to a page visitor that was not in the form of a reply.

MISSION STATEMENT: We give our NFL football picks against the Vegas line, and College football picks against Vegas odds every week. Be aware that this is a dynamic site, we actively upgrade/downgrade the selections through out the week. Check in by the middle of the week for a listing of games we have selected, AND be sure to check in before game time, as very often one or both of us will zone in on a play the day before kick-off. We'll make 1-15 combined College and Pro football picks a week. We do not promise to pick 100% winners. However, historically we will pick a majority of winners over the course of the year. Expectations are too pick a simple majority, a 54-66% winning ratio is a realistic goal. You will serve as our sports monitor, all of our picks will be stored on a weekly basis in the "Past Picks" link at the bottom of this page. We will be sending our A and A+ plays to The Sports Eye monitoring service. This page is a no-nonsense banner free site. We don't recommend a service or affiliate with casinos--it's just us baby.

Two seasons ago I received an e-mail saying he "needed a winner", asking on a scale of 1-10 "how strong" our A+ play was this week. I replied that it's wrong about 30% of the time--so it must be a "7". Unfortunately that weeks play was in the 30% category. Folks there's no such thing as a lock--if you need one then you're in the wrong place and playing the wrong game. I strongly recommend a short read on money management linked via "Vegas Tips" at the bottom of this page.

We are monitored by YOU, and the Sports Eye monitoring service. During week 7 of the 2001 season Footballforecasters enjoyed the highest ratio and largest bank of all monitored sites, outperforming the pay for services "Mensa" and "Platinum" award winners. However the award we appreciate the most is knowing we have assisted our visitors with an entertaining and sometimes profitable weekend. We will continue to give our best effort to maintain the high standard of success we have come to enjoy.

NFL & NCAA Opinions Free, courtesy of Footballforecasters. Strictly for entertainment and discussion purposes only :)

ALSO LIKES: Florida State, Fresno State, Air Force, UNLV, UConn, Iowa State, SMU, Nebraska, Miami-OH, WSU, Baylor, Mississippi State

Team	W/L	Comments
New England(+) vs StLouis		1/30/02 Statistically "the spread" only comes into play a little less than 15% of the time. Serious players are aware of this and make their plays accordingly. We generally don't make plays on the spread unless we feel the dog has a chance to pull an upset. We crunched the numbers on this contest using all three of our scorecasting models. The results were three Ram victories by scores of: 8, 8, & 7 points (as we've stated before we don't rely solely on computer generated scorecasting when making our picks, but rather use it as a handicapping tool). The yardage model surprised us as the Patriots give up generous yardage between the 20's but keep opponents out of the endzone, we thought the point differential would be greater with the yardage model but it's right in line with the scoring models. The Scorecasting data is in line with what the oddsmakers gave New England in their first meeting this season, +8 points ( a game where we won with the Patriots as an A+ play during week 10, covering 24-17), however it appears the hype surrounding the Rams high powered offense, and a recent string of Superbowl blowouts, has made for an inflated line for this game. The line should probably be +10.5 as opposed to +14, giving us nice line value of a field goal (a FG is the key number for us when determining if there is enough line value to warrant a play). Looking at the intangible side of the match-up, one advantage we feel New England has that doesn't show up in the numbers is coaching. We feel Belichick may be a better defensive coach than Martz is an offensive coach, and he may have benefited more from their first meeting than his counterpart. We don't think this game will be a blowout and it won't surprise us if the Patriots pull off an upset. We think the Patriots will win the field position battle and force the Rams to make long drives and settle for field goals in the red zone. We're taking New England and the points and forecasting them to keep it close: 27-20 A Play

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2001 Year To Date Statistical record
YTD awards from The Sports Eye monitor (over 200 serviced): 4 Gold's & 1 Silver awarded
2001	WON	LOST	PCT%
A+ Play	10	8	58%
A Plays	23	19	55%
B Plays	100	93	52%
Totals	133	120	53%

Team	W/L	comments
Virginia Tech	W	The Indians from Arkansas St are in for a spanking. This is a spot where a top 20 team is hosting a bottom 20 team. It will be 35-0 by halftime. The Hokies are proud of their defense and will go for the shutout, little danger of a backdoor cover here. We don't mind laying the points. A+ Play

Team	W/L	comments
@Fresno State		8/29/02 Too much firepower for the severely overmatched Aztecs to handle. We're laying the points
@Utah State (+)		8/31/02 Likely to be upgraded to an A play