2001 Archives wk10
A+ goes 2-0, A plays go 0-2, B plays go 7-4. Nine for 6 overall for 60%.
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Year to Date Statistical record |
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YTD awards from The Sports Eye monitor (over 200 serviced): 2 Gold's & 1 Silver awarded |
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| 2001 | WON | LOST | PCT% |
| A+ Play | 8 | 6 | 57% |
| A Plays | 17 | 14 | 55% |
| B Plays | 71 | 60 | 54% |
| Totals | 96 | 80 | 55% |
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NFL & NCAA Opinions Free, courtesy of Footballforecasters. Strictly for entertainment and discussion purposes only :)
A rated games are plays that we feel very strongly about.
B rated games are plays we feel pretty good about.
College Football Pick's 11/17/01 "A" rated plays
| Team | W/L | comments |
| @Buffalo(+) vs Akron | L |
Upgraded 11/12/01 A
Play
Posted 11/11/01 We told you not to laugh last week when we took the Buffs as a large dog against Army and they won the game outright. This week our work-ups indicate they should again win outright in a closely contested game. However they've opened as a 6' point dog. Akron has performed poorly on the road this season, they are coming off a bye but this is their 3rd roadie in 4 weeks, they have their season final next week against Kent St and may be looking ahead here. The Buff's have been a steadily improving team and should be motivated for their season finale. In addition to momentum there are several trends pointing to Buffalo, we'll smugly take the home points with a team that plays much better on their own field. Buffalo to win by 6. |
| Army(+) @Memphis | L | 11/16/01 Our work-ups have Memphis by only 6 over Army. The cadets lost last week against Buffalo in what we had as a pick'em game anyway. Now we think people are shying away from Army--not realizing just how much Buffalo has improved. Army is +16, they have a bye next week before facing Navy. There are no significant basic match-up edges at all, Memphis has a slightly better defense but Army has a slightly better offense. We think Army was embarrassed last week and will play much harder this week. Trends are the road team has covered the past two years. UM has a losing record ATS in the month of November. They have their home finale next week and may have a slight let down (against an unheralded opponent) off their effort against the Vols last week . A Play |
| North Texas @Idaho | W |
11/17/01 The line has dropped from 4' to 3' to 1'. We
researched the injury lists and news files and found nothing to explain
the large line move (other than the public liking Idaho). At that price we couldn't resist dropping
another 2% on the Eagles; Effectively making this an A+ play at the latest
price. We're either going to have a very bad Saturday or be close to
even going into Sunday.
11/11/01 North Texas is the best team nobody knows about. They have a very good defense and did play TCU, Texas Tech & Oklahoma as part of their non-conference schedule. They defeated MTS and will win the Sun Belt Conference division if they win out. Our work-ups have the Eagles winning by 15. A+ Play |
B rated plays:
| Team | W/L | comments |
| Louisville(+) @ECU
Thursday Night |
W | Posted 11/11/01 We have played both of these teams several times this year. This contest is for 1st place in Conference USA. We have a lot of respect for ECU but our numbers indicate the wrong team is favored here. Strictly by the numbers the Cardinals win by 14. They do have a strength on weakness advantage passing for 8 ypp and 245 ypg, while ECU gives up 8 ypp but a respectable 143 ypg. Both teams have stellar run defenses. The Cardinals big play pass offense should be the difference in this tight game. |
| C. Michigan(+) @WMU | W | Posted 11/11/01 In-state rivalries tend to be closer than the numbers indicate they should be. We have the Bronco's winning by 12 so when we saw that CMU was getting 17 we jumped on it. CMU likes to run the ball and they're good at it. Rushing the ball an average of 48 times per contest, 4.4 ypc & 213 ypg. The Broncos have a below average run defense WMU does have a strength on weakness advantage in the passing department, but we feel this is offset by CMU's running game and will take the generous points in this intrastate rivalry. |
| Maryland vs NC State | W | Posted 11/11/01 The Terrapins opened only giving two. We feel this may be a tight contest but Maryland should prevail. This line could go to a FG by kick-off. |
| Ball St(+) @No. Illinois | W | The Cardinals had a poor outing last week but are still in the title hunt. They are loaded with upperclassmen and should be able to get back on track. NI does have a slight offensive advantage but we don't feel it's enough to overcome the large spread. We're taking the generous points in what should be a tightly contested game. |
| Lu Tech(+) @K State | L | The Wildcats are healthy and playing solid D, and they do like to roll it up on overmatched opponents. The line opened at 21, immediately dropped to 19 and is now back up to 21. We like LT getting 21. They are simply a good team and have the offense to put some points up. |
| @Arkansas vs Miss St | L | The Hogs are playing great, the Bulldogs are not showing up. We're going against recent trends in this particular match-up and going with momentum on a team that has performed strongly on their home field. |
| Michigan vs Wisconsin | L | Posted 11/11/01 The Wolverines have title aspirations. We have them winning by 17. The line opened at 5 and may go to a TD by kick-off. MU is playing their 3rd roadie in 4 otherwise we would have considered this for a stronger play. |
| UAB @ Houston | W | Posted 11/11/01 The Blazers like to run the ball, averaging 44 rush attempts per game, 3.7 ypc and 160 ypg. Not stellar numbers but look at what the Cougars rush defense gives up: 4.7 ypc and 185 ypg. UAB has a very good defense and should control both sides of the line in this contest. Our numbers indicate the Blazers should win by 24 and they opened giving 15. This one could go up to 17 by kick-off |
ALSO LIKES: Tennessee *Miami-OH Georgia Tech Illinois Lu-Monroe Florida Iowa State Bowling Green W. Virginia Virginia Tech Syracuse Boston college S Carolina
NFL Picks 11/18/01 "A" rated play
| Team | W/L | Comments |
| @New England(+) vs Rams | W |
11/15/01 The Rams scoring numbers vary significantly when they're away from home on grass. Because of this we used three sets of scoring data to scorecast this game. The Pats covered twice, and lost by 8 in the third--a push. The Rams are hot but the Pats have been playing very well also. They have a very good secondary and should make the Rams work for their points. If they can make St Louis settle for field goals instead of TD's the Pats will have a chance at the upset. Warner has an injured thumb on his throwing hand and the Rams have a Monday night homer with Tampa Bay on Deck. We'll take the home points. A+ Play |
B rated plays:
| Team | W/L | Comments |
| @Vikings vs NYG | W | Monday Night 11/19/01 Aw shucks, we kept thinking about this one and finally decided to pull the trigger. Our Scorecast, which takes into account home/away stats, has the Vikings by 7. We're a little concerned about Minnesota's O-line and their ability to stop Strahan. But Green is a master motivator and this is a prime time revenge game for the Vikings. We're going to hit it with 3%. |
| @Buffalo(+) vs Seattle | W | 11/14/01 Buffalo has not won or covered at home this year. Seattle is off an emotionally draining victory over nemesis Oakland, now they are traveling coast to coast against a team hungry for a home win. This one should be tight to the end and we won't be surprised if Van Pelt & Buffalo end up on top. B+ Play |
| Indianapolis(+) @ N Orleans | L | 11/17/01
Downgraded from A play: 2nd wide receiver, Jerome Pathon is
doubtful with a bad wheel. In light of Indy's already significant
injury situation we are downgrading Indy as an A play.
Personally we're still going to leave our 3% action up. However we will not use Indy on a
ticket.
11/14/01 We used two sets of scoring data to help evaluate this contest. Indy covered in one and delivered an upset win in the other. New Orleans will be able to move the ball on the ground while Indy will likely go over the top. The Saints defense has been vulnerable this year and even without EJ the Colts have been putting up points. The Colts, like the Saints, play in a dome and should perform well in this spot. |
| Chicago(+) @Tampa Bay | W | 11/13/01 The Bears appear to be uncomfortable as favorites but they are a great play as road dogs. We crunched the numbers using two data groups and the results point to a closely contested game with Chicago having a chance at an upset. |
ALSO LIKES: Denver Oakland Cleveland O44--Oak/SD Jets Philadelphia SanFran Cincinnati Arizona U33--Bal/Cle Green Bay
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