2001 Archives - po3
We went 1 and 1 for 50% during the championship round.
Update 1/21/02: We're hitting a solid A play and predicting that Pittsburgh will roll to the Superbowl. There's a decent chance this line may go to 9 or 10 by kick-off so we're posting our thoughts right away. The NFC match-up is much tighter to call and we're going to hit the visitor as we see them going toe to toe with the Rams. Drop into the message board and sound off on your opinions. We'll update later in the week and quite possibly not till game day.
Peace & Prosperity to all, Footballforecasters
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Year To Date Statistical record |
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YTD awards from The Sports Eye monitor (over 250 serviced): 4 Gold's & 1 Silver awarded |
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| 2001 | WON | LOST | PCT% |
| A+ Play | 10 | 8 | 58% |
| A Plays | 22 | 18 | 55% |
| B Plays | 99 | 92 | 52% |
| Totals | 131 | 119 | 53% |
NFL Picks 1/27/02 "A" rated play
| Team | W/L | Comments |
| @Pittsburgh vs New England | L | 1/21/02 We have played New England at this site many times this season and they've cashed in for us. However we've intuitively been leaning to Pittsburgh in this title game from the get go. We crunched the numbers: Two of 3 scorecasting models produced a Steeler cover. Statistically the most glaring advantage Pittsburgh has is their potent rushing offense against a mediocre New England rush defense. The Patriots give up 4.3 ypc while the Steelers are grinding out 4.8 ypc--a strength on weakness advantage heavily favoring Pittsburgh. After looking at the defensive data we are having a hard time figuring out how the Patriots managed the AFC's #1 red zone defense, we've determined that while New England's defense is good it's not great, and the statistical anomaly is largely the result of playing a 5th place schedule and competing in a weak division. The key to scoring in the red zone is being able to rush the football. Pittsburgh moved the ball on the ground against some of the better defensive teams in the league. The Steelers played a 3rd place schedule in a strong division, at last seasons end they probably played well enough to make the playoffs, and they're certainly the best team in the AFC this year. The Patriots on the other hand played a 5th place schedule, and while we feel they are a solid team, they are not championship caliber. We're forecasting Tom Brady's sensational season to come to an abrupt end. The only factor keeping us from making this an A+ play is Kris Brown's foot. We're not that concerned about a backdoor cover as the Steelers learned a recent inexpensive lesson in that department from Cincinnati. We're looking for a dominating defensive effort and calling for the Steelers to roll to a 13 point win. A Play |
B rated plays:
| Team | W/L | Comments |
| Philadelphia (+) @ St Louis | W | 1/21/02 We are impressed with the Eagles precision and intensity during the playoffs. The Eagles have a couple very good corners (that match-up very well with St Louis), a comprehensive blitz package, and Warner has thrown a few int's himself this season. McNabb likes the turf and will break & run like no other QB in the league. Philadelphia should not only be able to take care of the ball, they should be able to move it downfield. Our scorecast models have Philly covering the number and one model projects a 1 point win. The early money's coming in on the home team so we're going to wait to hit this one till game time to maximize our value. There's a decent chance we'll upgrade this to an A selection before kick-off. B+ Play |
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