2002 Superbowl Pick By Football Forecasters Free Picks

MISSION STATEMENT: We give our NFL football picks against the Vegas line, and College football picks against Vegas odds every week. Be aware that this is a dynamic site, we actively upgrade/downgrade the selections through out the week. Check in by the middle of the week for a listing of games we have selected, AND be sure to check in before game time, as very often one or both of us will zone in on a play the day before kick-off. We'll make 1-15 combined College and Pro football picks a week. We do not promise to pick 100% winners. However, historically we will pick a majority of winners over the course of the year. Expectations are too pick a simple majority, a 54-66% winning ratio is a realistic goal. You will serve as our sports monitor, all of our picks will be stored on a weekly basis in the "Past Picks" link at the bottom of this page. We will be sending our A and A+ plays to The Sports Eye monitoring service. This page is a no-nonsense banner free site. We don't recommend a service or affiliate with casinos--it's just us baby.

Last season I received an e-mail saying he "needed a winner", asking on a scale of 1-10 "how strong" our A+ play was this week. I replied that it's wrong about 30% of the time--so it must be a "7". Unfortunately that weeks play was in the 30% category. Folks there's no such thing as a lock--if you need one then you're in the wrong place and playing the wrong game. I strongly recommend a short read on money management linked via "Vegas Tips" at the bottom of this page. On a positive note last year there were two games we felt were "double A" plays (we hit on both of them--double A meaning we felt doubly good we picked a winner, not double down); Well this year as a new feature we're going to specifically identify those AA opportunities we encounter.

Update 1/30/02: It looked to us like the Steelers underestimated the Patriots last week. Sorry we didn't upgrade the Philly pick to an A play (for those that only hit our A picks). We learned that Vincent was playing but were not at home to upgrade the selection. Though this is the Superbowl and the most watched event in our country, we're sticking to our wagering philosophy and only hitting the Patriots with 4% as an A rated play.

We are monitored by YOU, and the Sports Eye monitoring service. During week 7 Footballforecasters enjoyed the highest ratio and largest bank of all monitored sites, outperforming the pay for services "Mensa" and "Platinum" award winners. However the award we appreciate the most is knowing we have assisted our visitors with an entertaining and sometimes profitable weekend. We will continue to give our best effort to maintain the high standard of success we have come to enjoy.

NFL & NCAA Opinions Free, courtesy of Footballforecasters. Strictly for entertainment and discussion purposes only :)

Team	W/L	Comments
New England(+) vs StLouis		1/30/02 Statistically "the spread" only comes into play a little less than 15% of the time. Serious players are aware of this and make their plays accordingly. We generally don't make plays on the spread unless we feel the dog has a chance to pull an upset. We crunched the numbers on this contest using all three of our scorecasting models. The results were three Ram victories by scores of: 8, 8, & 7 points (as we've stated before we don't rely solely on computer generated scorecasting when making our picks, but rather use it as a handicapping tool). The yardage model surprised us as the Patriots give up generous yardage between the 20's but keep opponents out of the endzone, we thought the point differential would be greater with the yardage model but it's right in line with the scoring models. The Scorecasting data is in line with what the oddsmakers gave New England in their first meeting this season, +8 points ( a game where we won with the Patriots as an A+ play during week 10, covering 24-17), however it appears the hype surrounding the Rams high powered offense, and a recent string of Superbowl blowouts, has made for an inflated line for this game. The line should probably be +10.5 as opposed to +14, giving us nice line value of a field goal (a FG is the key number for us when determining if there is enough line value to warrant a play). Looking at the intangible side of the match-up, one advantage we feel New England has that doesn't show up in the numbers is coaching. We feel Belichick may be a better defensive coach than Martz is an offensive coach, and he may have benefited more from their first meeting than his counterpart. We don't think this game will be a blowout and it won't surprise us if the Patriots pull off an upset. We think the Patriots will win the field position battle and force the Rams to make long drives and settle for field goals in the red zone. We're taking New England and the points and forecasting them to keep it close: 27-20 A Play

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Year To Date Statistical record
YTD awards from sportseye monitor (over 250 serviced): 4 Gold's & 1 Silver awarded
2001	WON	LOST	PCT%
A+ Play	10	8	58%
A Plays	22	19	54%
B Plays	100	94	52%
Totals	131	120	52%

Team	W/L	comments

Team	W/L	comments